Population in Defense Policy PlanningThe Future Faces of War: Population and National Security (Praeger/ABC-Clio 2011)
World population now stands at almost 7 billion and if current trends continue, more than 11 billion people will populate our planet by 2050. Large youth populations, massive migration, and differential growth among ethnic groups suggest that the 21st century will undoubtedly include multiple threats to national security: interstate wars, civil conflict, and millions of deaths from poverty and disease. At the same time, urbanization and maturing age structures will create new opportunities for peace and prosperity.
The Future Faces of War: Population and National Security–the first comprehensive book on demography and security in a decade–analyzes the challenges faced and posed by great powers, such as Russia and China; strategic states, like Pakistan and Iran; and rising powers, including Brazil and India. Through analysis aimed at policymakers and general readers, International Relations scholar Jennifer Dabbs Sciubba identifies the trends that offer opportunities for building partnerships and strengthening security, and those that challenge global and civil peace.
Understanding population growth and other demographic trends is crucial to national security, as population issues play a central role in efforts to ensure national defense, avoid societal collapse, and meet citizens’ basic needs. Focusing on multiple scenarios and the theoretical links between population and security, Sciubba’s insights will remain relevant for years to come.
Peer-reviewed journal articles:
“The Politics of Aging in Singapore and Taiwan.” Asian Survey. Vol. 57. Issue 4 (2017): 642-664. With Chien-Kai Chen.
“Securing Rights in the 21st Century: A Comparison of the Disability and Older Persons’ Rights Conventions.” Journal of Human Rights. Vol. 15. Issue 4 (2015): 533-549.
“The Effect of Age Structure on the Abrogation of Military Alliances.” International Interactions. Vol. 41. Issue 2 (2015): 279-308. With TongFi Kim.
“Explaining the Timing and Support of the Campaign for a UN Convention on the Rights of Older People.” International Journal of Human Rights Vol 18. Issue 4-5 (2014): 462-478.
“Coffins Versus Cradles: Russian Population, Foreign Policy, and Power Transition Theory.” International Area Studies Review Vol. 7, No. 2 (2014): 205-221.
“Framing and Power in Aging Advocacy.” Social Movement Studies Volume 13, Issue 4 (2013): 465-481.
Other scholarly work:
“Willing and (Somewhat) Able: Japan’s Defense Strategy in a Graying Asia.” Georgetown Journal of Asian Affairs, Fall 2016.
“Geopolitical Implications of Demographic Projections and Mobility Trends.” With Mathew J. Burrows. Commissioned by the US National Intelligence Council (January 2016).
“Demography and Instability in the Developing World.” Orbis: A Journal of World Affairs,(Spring 2012).
“Population in Defense Policy Planning.” Environmental Change and Security Program Report, Issue 13. Washington, DC: Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars (2009).
“The Defense Implications of Demographic Trends: Age Structure, Migration, and Urbanization.” Joint Force Quarterly Vol. 48 (1st quarter, January 2008). Received 2009 Kiley Award for Best Feature.
“Population and Environmental Security.” In Environmental Security: Approaches and Issues, edited by Rita Floyd and Richard Matthew. Abingdon: Routledge (2013). With Geoffrey Dabelko and Carolyn Lamere.
“Rhetoric and Action on Aging in Germany, Italy, and Japan: Party Platforms and Labor Policies in the World’s Oldest Democracies.” In Ageing Populations in Postindustrial Democracies, edited by Pieter Vanhuysse and Achim Goerres. Abingdon: Routledge/ECPR European Political Science Series (2012). (Peer-reviewed)
“Population Aging and Power Transition Theory.” In Political Demography: Interests, Conflict and Institutions, edited by Jack Goldstone, Monica Duffy Toft, and Eric Kaufmann. Oxford University Press. (2012).